Sunday, October 11, 2009

Stock Event: Trading within the Bands

Date: 11 Oct 2009 (Sunday) 
Time: 10:00am - 12:00pm 

Venue:

Paragon Hotel 
Diamond 5 - Level 6
18, Jalan Harimau,
Taman Century, 80250,
Johor Bahru, Johor,
Malaysia.


Date : 18 Oct 2009 (Sunday) 

Time : 9:30am - 11:30am 

Venue:

Gurney Hotel 

Function Hall 1
18 Persiaran Gurney
10250 Georgetown

Penang


Date: 24 Oct 2009 (Saturday) 
Time: 10:00am - 12:00pm 


Venue:

Heritage Hotel 
Meeting Room 1 - Level 1
Jalan Raja DiHilir
30350 Ipoh
Perak Darul Ridzuan
Malaysia


The Bollinger Bands was developed by Mr. John Bollinger. It is widely used by traders to trade the market effectively.

Many traders often miss the right entry point which might cause a lesser profit or even worst a loss. One of the usages of Bollinger Bands is in the powerful Bollinger Squeeze, which triggers high probability buy or sell signals. Just think of the possible benefits you will get by having indicators to buy as well as to sell!

Learn more about Bollinger Bands and use it to trade to your advantage.


Seminar Outline

Introduction to Technical Analysis

This seminar will cover the concepts of Bollinger Bands and will showcase how powerful Bollinger Bands to find for a buy and sell signals. The highlight of this seminar will be on how to obtain clear and powerful signals from Bollinger Bands and ride through the trend. This indicator can help trader to take advantage over others in timing their entries and exits.

How to construct Bollinger Bands
What are the trading signals with Bollinger Bands
How to identify the "high" or "low" with Bollinger Bands
Learn how a software can help you pick the next winner in 10 mins

Sunday, October 4, 2009

什么是WA,WB,WC,CA,PA,ICULS,OR,OS等

除了PA(preference share)之外,这些产品是统称为derivatives.所有的warrant,call warrant,iculs等都有以下的共同点,

1.转换价(excersise /strike price)
这是把warrant转换为母股的价格,cash settled call warrant方面,这是作为计算赚/损的价格。

2.寿命期(expiry/maturity period)
所有的warrant,callwarrant,iculs等都有一定的寿命期,warrant一般上是五到十年,能否延长是取决于发行warrant时的deed poll,以及Bursa andSC的批准。CA早期有四年的(例,Khazanah 发行的MISC-CA),但最近所发行的CA寿命期非常短,CIMB发行的CA是八个月,AMMB发行的CA是一年。CA不能延长。icul寿命期从二到
十年。
到期的warrant&call warrant假如没有转换为母股,将成为废纸,现金结算(cash-settled)CA例外。到期的iculs自动的以转换比率换为母股。

#2 Warrant 是怎样来的?
当一间公司筹资时,会选择发行附加股(rights issue)或债券(iculs),为吸引小股东们认购,公司通常会加上甜品,也就是warrant.Warrant 本身起源自call options.请看看Investopedia 对于calloption的定义:

An agreement that gives an investor the right (but not the obligation) to buy astock, bond, commodity, or other instrument at a specified price within aspecific time period.

Warrant因为不是股票,也不是债券,只是期权,所以没有股息,也没有利息。当一间公司支付股息时,warrant价格会受影响调整。

WA,WB,WC...有什么不同?
因为一间公司筹资方式及时间不同,所以,每一次筹资时所发行的warrant转换价以及寿命期都不一样,所以,各个warrant会以WA,WB,WC等来区别。

Warrant一定是由公司本身发行,所以,转换时是由公司本身发出新股。

#3 CA,CB,CC。。。

Call warrant 基本上也是call option,但和warrant有稍微不同。
-Call warrant 非由公司发行,issue者是第三者,通常这个第三者是大股东或者是Merchant bank 如CIMB,AMMB,OSK等。

-Call warrant分为covered或uncovered.covered warrant 是由大股东发行,(例khazanah发行的Telecom CA)coveredwarrant到期时只能够以转换价转换成母股,到期没有转换的covered warrant成为废纸。因为转换时没有涉及发行新的母股,公司的earning 不会dilute.

uncovered warrant也称为naked warrant,发行者通常没有或者只拥有很少量的母股。近来发行的call warrant多为这类。uncoveredwarrant结算时以现金支付,不能以转换价转换成母股。(例-Bj Toto 今天闭市价为4.60,如果某人拥有一千股CA要求结算,他将获得4.60减去转换价,也就是4.43,等于RM170。既然现今CA市价为0.34,要求结算者将要亏损RM170。手续费还没算入。)

covered and uncovered warrant结算时相对的一方(counter party)是issuer.


uncovered warrant寿命期一般上比covered warrant短。

不同时期由不同issuer发行的call warrant,由以转换价与寿命期个别不同,因此以CA,CB,CC等区别。


#4-Iredeemable convertible unsecured loanstock(Iculs)-LA,LB。。。
我暂时的跳过Preference share(PA),因为 PA不是derivatives.让我们先谈谈Iculs.

公司筹资的方法之一是发行loanstock(债卷),发行loanstock事实上就是公司向股东借钱,表明利率,年仿及到期时的偿还方法。Loan stock到期时的偿还方法有二种,一是现金偿还,二是以早先表明的转换比率转换成母股。现金偿还者称为redeemable loan stock,可转换成母股者便称为Iredeemable convertible loan stock.我们现在只集中讨论Iredeemable convertible loan stock。


Iculs称为可转换债卷,不同于warrant,寿命期介二至十年,享有利息(如有)到期时以转换比率转换成母股,不会成为废纸。一些Iculs转换时必须添加现金。

Iculs不是股票,也不是warrant,发行Iculs时有份Trust deed说明利率,年仿,转换比率等。

Iculs因为不是warrant,所以没有time decay的问题,接近到期时不会越来越没有time value.

同样的,因为不同期限与转换比率等的差别,loan stock以LA,LB等来区别。购买loan stock必须留意convertible还是unconvertible,后者的capital appreciation 较少。


#5-Preferenceshares(PA)

PA本身是优先股,不是warrant,也不是Iculs.

不同Ordinary share,Preference shares没有voting rights,股息取决于发行时相关的条款。股息又分为cumulative 和non-cumulative.

许多PA到期时可以转换为母股,不会成为废纸。
期权有二种,American style 和European style,American style 的期权可在任何时候要求转换,European style的期权只可以在到期时转换。
大部分的warrant,call warrant是American style,Iculs和PA是Europeanstyle,也有例外。
要转换母股,请首先由Stockbroker or registrar处取得excercise form填好,把转换价以银行本票方式附上给Registrar,大约三个星期,DONE!!!

买iculs和买股票是一样的,找你的Remisier就行了。
回筹方面,假如是convertibleloan stock的话,它的起落应该会和母股平行。Unconvertible loan stock因为不能转换为母股,它的价钱起落不大,只会反映redemption amount on maturity减去/加上interestreceivable and risk premium for redemption .

关于iculs有趣的一点是假如是European style(届满时转换),它的价钱起落的behaviour和warrant相反,越接近届满时,越靠近母股价,没有time decay 的问题.


什么是认购权(OR,OS)?
当一间公司发附加股或其他的筹资工具时,现有的股东们能享有以公司所定下的折扣价购买附加股或其他的筹资工具。这权利便称为"认购权"(rights to subscribe).一些公司的认购权是可以转卖的。这就是OS,OR的来源。

OS 和OR通常会在申请书寄出后,但before the closing date forsubscription前在Bursa交易二个星期。最后的买方必须以公司所定下的价认购附加股或其他的筹资工具,假如没有购买的话,OS或OR willlapse and成为废纸。
认购权的价值(intrinsic value)是不难估计的,(例,母股市价RM3,附加股为RM2.5,认购权的价值便是RM0.50),可是当认购的附加股或其他的筹资工具有附送如 warrant时,认购权的估值便变得复杂。因为多了一个可变的因素(variable),ie,warrant price.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Dividend of BJTOTO


翻看历史,BJTOTO每个季度都会给股息。。。在于是多还是少而已!

下个星期,BJTOTO多数会报告业绩,公布股息。。。

如果没有意外,股息将于十月颁发!

真的很期待这回有多少股息?!

是时候开始收票了。。。



Sunday, August 30, 2009

见证马股一天爆升400%!!!


4.1.1 30% threshold ruleIf the reference price is above RM1, then a threshold of 30% is defined as higher andlower threshold. These thresholds are also valid at least for one session only.For upper limit, Bursa Malaysia will be adjusted downward to the nearest bid whilelower limit will be adjusted upward to the nearest bid.


4.1.2 RM 0.30 threshold ruleIf the reference price is below RM1, then a threshold of absolute RM0.30 is definedas higher and lower threshold. These thresholds are also valid at least for one sessiononly.

Reference:
http://www.klse.com.my/website/bm/regulation/rules/bursa_rules/downloads/bm_cir_rr10_121108.pdf

Saturday, August 8, 2009

FREE Historical Chart

History alway repeat in stock market...

In order to track the history, a lot of software need to pay.

Kindly share with you all, i had found FREE historical chart & quite good review...

Feel free to download from below link.

http://jstock.sourceforge.net/

 

Saturday, July 11, 2009

股场日记

目前很多人都在寻找机会进场。。。也很多人站在场外观望。。。而您呢?

这几个星期是我投资以来,交易最少,可说是“零”买卖!

当中有不少因数造成。。。
1. 被套了。。。
2. “Error” on decision making…
3. 时间不够用。。。

但是BJTOTO就快发股息了。。。加上,之前买的数量将会得到odd unit treasurer share,于是再买进以便可以补满odd unit。在此,不忘提醒股友新手,在ex-date前补满odd unit,至少不会遗憾为何当初不补满它!

不论您是寻找机会进场还是站在场外观望。。。希望八月份好消息可以带来新一轮的牛市,大家一起发发发吧。。。

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Minimum Bids

A minimum bid is the permissible change on the offer to buy price over the previous done or quoted price. When trading on Bursa Malaysia, bids and offers for shares within different price ranges follow different minimum bids.

The following are the minimum bids for the different price ranges:


Sourse: Bursa Malaysia

Thursday, June 18, 2009

股市的回酬与风险。。。

看见股市从801点左右(2008年10月28日),升到1095点左右(2009年6月15日),爆升将近300点。。。肯定会赚了不少吧???见仁见智吧!

每项投资肯定有某些程度的风险,股市也不例外! 

1.买对股
2.买对时间
3.卖对时间
假如符合以上3大因数,肯定会高回酬!!!

KNM 从RM0.32(2009年3月12日),升到RM1.09(2009年6月8日),不到3个月就爆升好几倍。。。

ZELAN从RM0.445(2009年3月16日),升到RM1.12(2009年6月15日),3个月就爆升好几倍。。。

很多股都是在三月中开始爆升,一爆就升两三倍。。。
KNM为例子,
2009年3月12日买进10,000units X RM0.32 = RM3,200 
2009年6月15日卖出10,000units X RM1.09 = RM10,900
扣除broker fees etc, 大概可以净赚RM7,600!


相反的,一次失误,可能全都化为“零”!
POLYTWR 从RM0.21(2009年5月14日),跌到RM0.05(2009年5月28日),两个星期就爆跌好几倍。。。
2009年5月14日买进10,000units X RM0.21 = RM2,100 
2009年5月28日卖出10,000units X RM0.05 = RM500
扣除broker fees etc, 大概可以净亏RM1,650!


终结:一支股要爆升很难,可能要花几个月。。。但是要暴跌,几天而已!!!正所为,下山比上山容易!!!只要一天还没离开股市,都须切记:RISK MANAGEMENT!!! 亏了就得:Cut Lost, Protect Capital!!!

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Different within Treasury Share VS Bonus

Treasury Share:
公司把自家公司股票的收购(share buyback)分发给股们!
因此,numbers of share issued 没变!

Bonus:
公司也是派股票给股东们,不过是 把它分割化,如 RM2 一股变成RM1两股。。。
因此,numbers of share issued 会变!

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

DAYA, 0091 (DMB = Daya Materials Berhad)


8 June 2009, Daya had been announced will give away 3% of first and final dividend on 19 June 2009. Ex-date is around the corner, unfortunately, it just attract minor of the investor attention. 


As today, 10 June 2009 RM0.345, if buy 10,000units, cost RM3450 + broker fees etc = around RM3500

Ordinary share price is RM0.10, 
Dividend 3% = RM0.003 
10,000units, RM30 only... Added, the dividend had to deduct 25% income tax, so dividend less than RM30!!!

Definitely no attractive!!!


On the other hand, 10 June 2009 DMB announced Bonus Issue, one (1) new DMB Share (“Bonus Shares”) for every two (2) DMB Shares held will be issue on 22 June.  

So now need to do home work, company background etc b4 decide, when to BUY... plus when to SELL.

As my opinion, there is two suitable buy time. Either buy on 11 June (still cheap) & hold it, can get dividend plus bonus. Alternative, buy on 19 June will be more attractive... Once dividends give away, share price will be adjusted... can buy at cheaper price. Btw, will it be cheaper than 11 June, RM0.345 ???

**Remarks: All the sharing is personal view only, feel free to leave your comment. Pls make your own decision, calculate the risk & protect your capital! Thank you.